CFB: Armed Forces Bowl - Air Force vs. Houston (12:00 PM ET, ESPN)


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CFB: Armed Forces Bowl - Air Force vs. Houston (12:00 PM ET, ESPN)
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CFB: Armed Forces Bowl - Air Force vs. Houston (12:00 PM ET, ESPN)

Houston has not won a bowl game since 1980, a span of eight games. At 7-5 and favored by a field goal over 8-4 Air Force in the Armed Forces Bowl


2008-12-31

Houston has not won a bowl game since 1980, a span of eight games. At 7-5 and favored by a field goal over 8-4 Air Force in the Armed Forces Bowl, this might be the best shot the Cougars have had to break that streak in years. At last check, 71% of bettors believe Houston will get it done.

This bowl contest is a marvelous matchup in contrast in styles. Air Force uses the option ground game to rack up 268.9 yards per game (5th in the nation) and Houston (7-5, 4-7 ATS) prefers spread attack with the pass in totaling 413.5 yards per game (2nd in the country). This was supposed to be a rebuilding year for the Falcons, being one of the youngest teams in the country. They exceeded expectations with 8-4 and 7-4 ATS record and are 13-4 ATS in road games with two or more weeks off. Houston's defense cost them C-USA title shot in 56-42 loss to Rice and they are only 4-13 ATS after allowing 50 or more points. Air Force may be just 8-9-1 in bowls; nevertheless a 10-5 ATS record makes them attractive potential play. Houston is 6-6 ATS in a dozen tries in the postseason.

Armed Forces Bowl Series Trend: Favorites from four different conferences have swept the action on the scoreboard and at the betting window in the last four installments of the Armed Forces Bowl, formerly known as the Fort Worth Bowl. This will be the second appearance for Houston ever and the second straight year that Air Force has played here. The Falcons lost 42-36 to Cal in '07.

Top ATS Trend
• AIR FORCE is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) vs. excellent passing teams averaging 8.5 or more passing yards/att. since 1992. The average score was AIR FORCE 21.9, OPPONENT 28.0 - (Rating = 2*)

Top Totals Trend
• AIR FORCE is 9-2 OVER (+6.8 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 2 seasons. The average score was AIR FORCE 30.4, OPPONENT 28.1 - (Rating = 1*)

Recent AIR FORCE Bowl Game Trends
* Air Force is 3-1 ATS in its L4 bowl games
* Three of L4 Air Force bowl games have gone OVER the total.
* Air Force defense has yielded 36.2 PPG in L6 bowl games.

Recent HOUSTON Bowl Game Trends
* HOUSTON hasn't won a bowl game since '80, going 0-8 SU & 2-6 ATS.
* HOUSTON's defense has allowed 37.4 PPG in its L8 bowl games.
* The favorite is 8-1 SU & 6-3 ATS in HOUSTON's prior 9 bowl games.

StatFox Power Ratings say: HOUSTON by 2

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