CFB: Kansas State at Nebraska (7:45 PM ET, ESPN)


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CFB: Kansas State at Nebraska (7:45 PM ET, ESPN)

One of the more under-hyped games of the weekend pits Kansas State & Nebraska from Lincoln. The winner will earn the Big 12 North spot in the conference championship game, most likely vs. Texas. The game has not received much attention because Kansas Stat


2009-11-20

One of the more under-hyped games of the weekend pits Kansas State & Nebraska from Lincoln. The winner will earn the Big 12 North spot in the conference championship game, most likely vs. Texas. The game has not received much attention because Kansas State has very quietly stayed in the hunt, and the pointspread indicates that the game should be a rout. The Cornhuskers have moved from an opening line favorite of -14.5 to -16.5 at Sportsbook.com, despite more wagering action (61%) coming in on the Wildcats.

The rehiring of Bill Snyder at Kansas State coach was met with tremendous skepticism, as many figured his run had ended after finishing below .500 in 2004 and 2005. The program did not improve under Ron Prince and Snyder was thought to be a good go-between until a younger and more energetic coach could be hired in Manhattan. An unexpected development occurred along the way. The Wildcats started playing more disciplined football than what was seen in recent years, which helped reduce mistakes. With the Big 12 North full of average teams, Kansas State (6-5, 6-4 ATS) can potentially win the division with the upset of Nebraska. The offensive line came together and running back Daniel Thomas has been putting the hurt on opposing tacklers, while the ‘Cats play keep away with the pigskin. K-State comes into this meaningful confrontation 9-1 ATS after a loss by 21 or more points under coach Snyder since 1992.

The best description of Nebraska (7-3 SU&ATS) football in 2009 style is "they find a way". It ends up that phrase has a dual meaning. Against Iowa State and Virginia Tech, a -10 turnover margin sealed a pair of losses. However, despite seven first downs and 180 yards of offense against Oklahoma, the Cornhuskers picked off five Sooners passes in 10-3 upset in Lincoln. Take away the Texas Tech misstep; Nebraska defenders have earned back the name "Blackshirts", holding nine other opponents to 17 points or less. Inconsistent quarterback play has stalled the offense, placing dependence on junior RB Roy Helu to carry the load. The Huskers are 8-3 in home finales, but only 3-8 ATS.

If you haven't seen Nebraska defensive tackle Ndamukong Suh, make a point, he's a shredder. These teams have played every year since 1922 and K-State in 6-3 ATS the last nine. The favorite is 5-2 ATS since 2002.

The StatFox Power Line shows Nebraska by 20. Sportsbook only has the game at -16.5. You decide.

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